|COOKIES: By using this website you agree that we can place Google Analytics Cookies on your device for performance monitoring.|
Hunting down the Black Swan: Correlation, Contagion & Endogenous Risk in Financial Markets
If you have a question about this talk, please contact Julia Blackwell.
Prices, volatilities and correlation parameters often exhibit erratic behaviour and extreme fluctuations during market crises. The traditional approach has been to either model these occurrences as “extreme” events or statistical outliers, or entirely dismiss them as ‘black swans’, impossible to model quantitatively. We argue that many such ‘black swans’ are in fact manifestations of endogenous market instabilities that arise as a result of feedback effects between price behaviour and the resulting supply/demand dynamics generated by market participants. We propose some simple models which allow quantitative modelling of such endogenous risks and present some applications to the Quant Crash of August 2007 and the Great Deleveraging following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
Rama Cont is Professor of Mathematics and Chair in Mathematical Finance at Imperial College London. The seminar is sponsored by Cantab Capital Partners.
Following the seminar there will be wine and canapes in the Central Core, CMS .
Please RSVP to: email@example.com if you wish to attend.
This talk is part of the Finance - Centre for Financial Research series.
This talk is included in these lists:
Note that ex-directory lists are not shown.
Other listsHistory of Modern Medicine and Biology South Asia Film Series Faculty of Education Special Events
Other talksSocial Learning Strategies & Cumulative Culture Inferno XXII, Purgatorio XXII, Paradiso XXII Under pressure: Environmental stressors alter relationships between physiology and behaviour in fishes TBC (neurophysiology of vision and motion detection) Probing CP violation with neutrinos: the Long-Baseline Neutrino Facility and much more Decoding 3-D vision in the human brain