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Measuring and allocating systemic risk

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Systemic Risk: Mathematical Modelling and Interdisciplinary Approaches

Co-author: Markus Brunnermeier (Princeton)

This paper develops a framework for measuring, allocating and managing systemic risk. SystRisk, our measure of total systemic risk, captures the a priori cost to society for providing tail-risk insurance to the financial system. Our allocation principle distributes the total systemic risk among individual institutions according to their size-shifted marginal contributions. To describe economic shocks and systemic feedback effects we propose a reduced form stochastic model that can be calibrated to historical data. We also discuss systemic risk limits, systemic risk charges and a cap and trade system for systemic risk.

This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.

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