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Iran ‘sans frontieres’: influence, war-fighting and geography in the Middle East

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At a time of heightening tension between NATO and Iran an understanding of the methods Tehran uses to confront her regional and international adversaries has increased importance. John Raine will be speaking about recent research on Iran and it’s Networks of Influence conducted by the IISS which addresses several important questions. This discussion is a preview of the report, due to be published in November. How does Iran project its influence and fight its wars? What defines its strategies and what is the leadership’s risk appetite and limits? Iran’s doctrine and capabilities have significance both for the outcome of current conflicts and for the future political geography of the region. What does the new regional balance of power look like? And what lessons can be learned by those powers confronting and seeking to contain Iran? These are important questions both for the formation of counter strategies and for an understanding of the evolving regional balance of power.

About the speaker:

John Raine CMG OBE is Senior Advisor for Geopolitical Due Diligence at the International Institute of Strategic Studies. John is researching current and emergent themes that cross geographic boundaries, namely the use of proxies, the use of non-kinetic force as a means of projecting power, and the potential of alternative approaches to conflict resolution. In addition, he is looking at how an understanding of these themes can help governments, armed forces and multinational businesses to mitigate risk.

John joined the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office in 1984, where he served for 33 years. His overseas postings included Kuwait, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Baghdad and Islamabad. In addition to bilateral and multilateral diplomatic work, he worked extensively with UK Armed Forces on deployed operations in Afghanistan and Iraq and, in the UK, on strategy and future capabilities. As a senior member of the national security community he contributed to the design and implementation of UK defence and security strategy, and managed relationships with a wide range of international security partners.

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