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Flood inundation prediction

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Flooding is one of the most costly natural disasters and every year affects hundreds of millions of people and causes billions of dollars in losses, and the most damaging events often impact multiple countries simultaneously. Despite this, the reality is that all flood impacts are felt locally and occur at the level of individual properties. The ultimate challenge in flood modelling therefore is how to provide detailed and skilful hazard and risk predictions at the scale of individual buildings over whole continents or even the whole globe. This talk considers the fluid dynamics of floodplain inundation, and the key process that models need in order to make skilful predictions. It shows how careful model development and validation can be used to meet the above challenge.

This talk is part of the BPI Seminar Series series.

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