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Extreme events, tail statistics, and large deviation theory in fluid flows

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HY2W04 - Statistical mechanics, integrability and dispersive hydrodynamics

In recent years several analytical and numerical methods have been introduced to characterize the pathway, rate, and likelihood of rare but important events.  These methods build on large deviation theory, which indicates that the way such events occur is often predictable and offers ways to compute them via solution of an optimization problem for their most likely path.  In this talk, I will discuss the applicability of these techniques to fluid flows, in particular in the context of regime transition in atmospheric flows and rogue waves in deep sea.

This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.

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