Causal Modelling with Stationary Processes
- đ¤ Speaker: Sarah Lumpp (Technical University of Munich)
- đ Date & Time: Tuesday 03 March 2026, 14:45 - 15:30
- đ Venue: Seminar Room 1, Newton Institute
Abstract
Stationary distributions of multivariate diffusion processes have recently been proposed as probabilistic models of causal systems in statistics and machine learning. By assuming each observation to arise as a one-time cross-sectional snapshot of a temporal process in equilibrium, they allow to model dependence structures that may include feedback loops. Specifically, the graphical continuous Lyapunov model consists of steady-state distributions of multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes where sparsity assumptions on the drift matrices are represented with a directed graph. These distributions are Gaussian with covariance matrices that are parametrized as solutions of the continuous Lyapunov equation. In this talk, I will motivate the Lyapunov models and present the conditional independence structure as well as results on identifiability of the drift parameters in specific cases.
Series This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.
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Sarah Lumpp (Technical University of Munich)
Tuesday 03 March 2026, 14:45-15:30