Testing the Bayesian confidence hypothesis
- ๐ค Speaker: Wei Ji Ma (New York University) ๐ Website
- ๐ Date & Time: Tuesday 30 September 2014, 13:00 - 14:00
- ๐ Venue: Kenneth Craik Room, Craik-Marshall Building, Downing Site
Abstract
Asking subjects to rate their confidence is one of the oldest procedures in psychophysics. Remarkably, quantitative models of confidence ratings have been scarce. The Bayesian confidence hypothesis states that an observerโs confidence rating is monotonically related to the posterior probability of their choice. Here, we test this hypothesis in three contexts: a) perceptual categorization (under both sensory noise and ambiguity); b) visual working memory (delayed estimation); c) visual judgment in science (interpreting scatterplots).
Series This talk is part of the Craik Club series.
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Tuesday 30 September 2014, 13:00-14:00