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SUMMARY:Confounding\, Dependence\, and Causal Variables - Betsy Ogburn (Jo
 hns Hopkins University)
DTSTART:20260121T144500Z
DTEND:20260121T153000Z
UID:TALK241810@talks.cam.ac.uk
DESCRIPTION:Non-causal "nonsense" associations can arise when an exposure 
 and an outcome of interest exhibit similar patterns of non-stationary depe
 ndence. For example\, philosopher Kevin Hoover\, responding to Elliott Sob
 er\, attributes the positive association between British bread prices and 
 Venetian sea levels to temporal dependence. This talk explores whether or 
 not variables like time&nbsp\;in the Sober example can be thought of as co
 nfounders\, bringing to bear pragmatic observations about statistical and 
 causal methodology in addition to philosophical considerations.&nbsp\;
LOCATION:Seminar Room 1\, Newton Institute
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