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SUMMARY:Investigating the Spread of Disease at the Landscape Scale - Richa
 rd Stutt
DTSTART:20110616T150000Z
DTEND:20110616T153000Z
UID:TALK30700@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Suzy Stoodley
DESCRIPTION:Much has been published on mathematical models for epidemics. 
 Many of these include spatial structure and some include stochastic proces
 ses. Remarkably few\, however\, take account of explicit spread in realist
 ic landscapes\, yet increasingly\, there are demands for models. Accurate 
 realistic simulation necessitates the linkage of spatially-extended epidem
 iological models with GIS descriptions of landscapes\, to map the distribu
 tion of hosts as well as weather variables. Effects of pathogens must also
  be characterised at the landscape scale and determining estimates for the
  epidemiological parameters necessary for performing simulations requires 
 the use of observational and experimental data.\n\nThis talk explores how 
 landscape spatial structure\, environment and stochasticity affect spread 
 of pathogens and how models can be used to inform regulator's decisions fo
 r control.\n\nThese techniques are then examined using a case study\, mode
 lling the spread and control of Sudden Oak Death in the UK.
LOCATION:Department of Plant Sciences\, Large Lecture Theatre
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