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Eric Guilyardi, University of Reading
Monday 08 February 2016, 14:15-15:15
El Niño 2015/16: the kid is back
- 👤 Speaker: Eric Guilyardi, University of Reading
- 📅 Date & Time: Monday 08 February 2016, 14:15 - 15:15
- 📍 Venue: Unilever Lecture Theatre, Department of Chemistry
Abstract
The current El Niño event is one of the largest since 50 years. The last extreme event in 1997/98 caused severe worldwide weather impacts on both the environment and societies. The unfolding 2015/16 event is described in the context of these other large events and a review of progress in ENSO understanding and forecast since the 1997/98 event is proposed. If ENSO prediction skill has not improved beyond the Spring predictability barrier, we now have a better physical understanding of why this may be. We also review how state-of-the-art models simulate ENSO and the links with climate change.
Series This talk is part of the Centre for Atmospheric Science seminars, Chemistry Dept. series.
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